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Red122
3255B42.4
97307.0
312866.0
Blue102
945236.5
254345.6
162214.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126105050150200250122102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
0Teleop0
+14Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points13
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
64Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#4
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#22
BargeRed +14
26Cage & park12
26Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points0
122Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.00.1
64.364.5
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End12.3
red by 20.4
45.60.1
45.545.6
Auto3.1
Teleop32.8
End9.7
Second
42.40.2
40.140.3
Auto8.3
Teleop29.9
End4.1
red by 5.9
36.50.1
36.336.5
Auto5.8
Teleop27.2
End3.4
Third
9730
#16
7.00.1
5.45.5
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 7.7
1622
#15
14.60.1
14.514.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End2.5