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Red196
119782.6
96822.0
107263.9
Blue200
397080.4
203528.1
97360.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172174120140160180200220240196200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
+2Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
8Coral scored#11
38Coral points54
47Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +11
18Coral scored#21
63Coral points76
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
24Processor points18
20Net points24
44Algae points42
107Total teleop118
Reef
10L4#16
9L3#6
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#41
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points12
196Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.60.5
82.182.6
Auto23.2
Teleop49.4
End10.0
red by 2.2
80.40.5
79.379.8
Auto18.5
Teleop52.0
End9.9
Second
63.90.5
63.463.9
Auto19.4
Teleop36.9
End7.6
red by 3.8
973
#2
60.10.5
58.959.4
Auto17.1
Teleop34.8
End8.1
Third
968
#35
22.00.5
21.522.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End6.1
blue by 6.1
2035
#29
28.10.5
26.927.5
Auto8.5
Teleop18.9
End0.7