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Red148
397080.4
203528.1
97360.1
Blue131
97171.6
958432.6
167159.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180178140160200220148131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
6Coral scored#8
30Coral points39
33Total auto39
TeleoperatedRed +23
16Coral scored#11
59Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
83Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#5
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points6
148Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.40.6
79.879.3
Auto18.5
Teleop52.0
End9.9
red by 8.8
971
#7
71.60.9
72.571.6
Auto9.7
Teleop55.2
End6.7
Second
973
#2
60.10.6
59.558.9
Auto17.1
Teleop34.8
End8.1
red by 0.3
59.80.9
60.759.8
Auto16.1
Teleop37.4
End6.3
Third
2035
#29
28.10.6
27.526.9
Auto8.5
Teleop18.9
End0.7
blue by 4.5
9584
#25
32.60.9
33.532.6
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End7.6