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Red177
97171.6
958432.6
167159.8
Blue141
908465.2
566544.2
513741.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184162100150200250177141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+34Teleop
+42Endgame
+36Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points34
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +34
25Coral scored#18
90Coral points64
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
24Processor points12
12Net points16
36Algae points28
126Total teleop92
Reef
10L4#9
7L3#6
7L2#6
7L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#31
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points6
177Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#7
71.60.2
72.372.5
Auto9.7
Teleop55.2
End6.7
red by 6.4
9084
#10
65.20.4
65.665.2
Auto19.6
Teleop40.9
End4.8
Second
59.80.2
60.560.7
Auto16.1
Teleop37.4
End6.3
red by 15.6
5665
#21
44.20.4
44.644.2
Auto7.6
Teleop34.0
End2.6
Third
9584
#25
32.60.2
33.333.5
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End7.6
blue by 9.3
41.90.4
42.341.9
Auto10.4
Teleop24.6
End6.9