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Red103
619121.7
167159.8
970617.6
Blue174
347335.4
351249.5
603669.5
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87145050100200103174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+73
Endgame+71
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +66
10Coral scored#24
36Coral points88
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
64Total teleop130
Reef
6L4#14
5L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#38
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points0
103Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.80.6
49.450.0
Auto16.1
Teleop37.4
End6.3
blue by 9.7
6036
#13
69.52.3
60.662.9
Auto18.8
Teleop49.2
End1.6
Second
6191
#30
21.71.0
16.417.4
Auto3.8
Teleop16.2
End1.8
blue by 27.8
49.52.8
34.437.2
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End7.9
Third
9706
#37
17.61.0
16.717.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End1.7
blue by 17.8
3473
#24
35.42.6
33.035.6
Auto5.9
Teleop27.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned