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Red121
207350.3
203528.1
508923.7
Blue108
264329.0
96822.0
630523.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8365050100150121108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +17
16Coral scored#15
57Coral points54
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
24Processor points18
20Net points12
44Algae points30
101Total teleop84
Reef
9L4#4
5L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points10
121Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#16
50.32.5
34.737.2
Auto12.0
Teleop34.8
End3.4
red by 21.3
2643
#26
29.01.9
22.424.2
Auto2.3
Teleop25.2
End1.4
Second
2035
#29
28.12.5
19.722.2
Auto8.5
Teleop18.9
End0.7
red by 4.5
6305
#27
23.61.9
19.321.1
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End1.3
Third
5089
#34
23.73.0
18.321.3
Auto6.2
Teleop15.8
End1.7
red by 1.7
968
#35
22.02.1
17.319.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned