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Red179
884017.9
107263.9
397080.4
Blue49
858521.9
808712.6
1021215.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15439010020025017949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+48Auto
+120Teleop
+130Endgame
+130Fouls
AutonomousRed +48
6Leave3
9Coral scored#0
45Coral points0
51Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +72
23Coral scored#7
82Coral points26
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
106Total teleop34
Reef
15L4#3
6L3#1
5L2#2
6L1 · trough#1
37Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +130
6Foul points6
179Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.42.1
60.262.3
Auto18.5
Teleop52.0
End9.9
red by 58.5
8585
#38
21.91.4
14.012.5
Auto2.8
Teleop16.6
End2.5
Second
63.92.1
56.858.9
Auto19.4
Teleop36.9
End7.6
red by 48.2
15.61.4
19.017.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.7
Third
8840
#39
17.92.1
8.610.6
Auto3.8
Teleop12.6
End1.5
red by 5.3
8087
#42
12.61.4
14.413.0
Auto1.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed