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Red149
97360.1
228852.1
75127.9
Blue124
545841.9
958432.6
566544.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1249250150200149124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+23Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points16
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +5
19Coral scored#15
68Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
96Total teleop91
Reef
9L4#6
10L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
149Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#2
60.11.9
49.451.3
Auto17.1
Teleop34.8
End8.1
red by 15.9
5665
#21
44.22.0
33.235.2
Auto7.6
Teleop34.0
End2.6
Second
2288
#11
52.11.7
42.344.1
Auto9.0
Teleop37.1
End5.9
red by 10.2
5458
#20
41.91.5
28.730.2
Auto9.2
Teleop29.4
End3.2
Third
751
#28
27.91.7
20.021.7
Auto7.1
Teleop18.6
End2.2
blue by 4.6
9584
#25
32.61.5
28.530.0
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned