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Red123
213543.7
432256.3
777718.7
Blue104
10043.7
581758.1
688419.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1119150100150123104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+9Teleop
+7Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
9Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
39Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +18
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
60Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
12Foul points0
123Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#12
56.30.6
46.246.8
Auto14.1
Teleop37.4
End4.7
blue by 1.8
5817
#18
58.11.2
42.844.0
Auto11.1
Teleop43.7
End3.3
Second
2135
#17
43.70.6
39.440.0
Auto13.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4
blue by 0.1
100
#15
43.71.2
30.531.7
Auto11.2
Teleop28.4
End4.1
Third
7777
#22
18.70.6
14.214.8
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End3.3
blue by 0.7
6884
#23
19.41.2
9.510.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned