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Red194
908465.2
1033611.5
119782.6
Blue61
950515.3
236713.2
513741.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16638010015020025019461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+123Teleop
+115Endgame
+133Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
3Leave6
10Coral scored#3
48Coral points13
51Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +91
24Coral scored#6
87Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
115Total teleop24
Reef
13L4#4
8L3#2
7L2#2
6L1 · trough#1
40Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +133
24Foul points6
194Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.62.5
72.575.0
Auto23.2
Teleop49.4
End10.0
red by 40.7
41.90.4
34.134.5
Auto10.4
Teleop24.6
End6.9
Second
9084
#10
65.22.0
55.157.2
Auto19.6
Teleop40.9
End4.8
red by 49.9
9505
#41
15.30.5
8.89.3
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End-0.4
Third
11.52.5
11.914.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End0.4
blue by 1.7
2367
#33
13.20.4
5.86.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned