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Red123
508923.7
397080.4
808712.6
Blue135
970617.6
203528.1
603669.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108115050150200250123135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+24
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave3
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points30
20Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +11
16Coral scored#19
57Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
77Total teleop88
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#10
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
12Foul points12
123Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.41.0
62.363.3
Auto18.5
Teleop52.0
End9.9
red by 10.9
6036
#13
69.51.3
62.964.2
Auto18.8
Teleop49.2
End1.6
Second
5089
#34
23.71.1
21.322.4
Auto6.2
Teleop15.8
End1.7
blue by 4.4
2035
#29
28.11.3
22.223.5
Auto8.5
Teleop18.9
End0.7
Third
8087
#42
12.61.0
13.013.9
Auto1.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 5.0
9706
#37
17.62.2
17.820.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed