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Red139
97171.6
876837.1
884017.9
Blue155
96822.0
351249.5
107263.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11713050100150200250139155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+2Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points23
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
21Coral scored#21
75Coral points74
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
18Processor points18
20Net points16
38Algae points34
113Total teleop108
Reef
8L4#10
8L3#8
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points8
139Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#7
71.62.4
60.863.2
Auto9.7
Teleop55.2
End6.7
red by 7.7
63.92.1
58.961.0
Auto19.4
Teleop36.9
End7.6
Second
8768
#31
37.12.2
34.837.0
Auto6.1
Teleop29.0
End2.0
blue by 12.4
49.52.3
37.239.6
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End7.9
Third
8840
#39
17.92.2
10.612.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.6
End1.5
blue by 4.1
968
#35
22.02.1
19.421.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned