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Red87
228852.1
513741.9
1033611.5
Blue76
70129.8
213543.7
619121.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1019360801201408776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points20
20Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +1
12Coral scored#10
43Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
53Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
87Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2288
#11
52.10.4
44.143.7
Auto9.0
Teleop37.1
End5.9
red by 8.4
2135
#17
43.70.9
40.039.1
Auto13.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4
Second
41.90.4
34.534.1
Auto10.4
Teleop24.6
End6.9
red by 12.1
701
#36
29.80.9
29.628.6
Auto3.8
Teleop24.8
End1.2
Third
11.50.4
14.313.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End0.4
blue by 10.2
6191
#30
21.71.6
17.415.9
Auto3.8
Teleop16.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed