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Red143
581758.1
665742.9
347335.4
Blue173
167159.8
950515.3
119782.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11815250100200250143173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
21Coral scored#23
75Coral points81
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
99Total teleop117
Reef
10L4#12
9L3#6
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
143Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#18
58.11.9
44.045.9
Auto11.1
Teleop43.7
End3.3
blue by 24.5
82.62.7
75.077.6
Auto23.2
Teleop49.4
End10.0
Second
42.91.9
32.534.3
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End4.8
blue by 16.9
59.82.4
50.052.4
Auto16.1
Teleop37.4
End6.3
Third
3473
#24
35.41.9
35.637.5
Auto5.9
Teleop27.1
End2.3
red by 20.1
9505
#41
15.32.4
9.311.7
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned