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Red63
545841.9
688419.4
236713.2
Blue135
908465.2
10043.7
432256.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3815905010020025063135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+58
Endgame+72
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +27
9Leave6
2Coral scored#8
10Coral points40
19Total auto46
TeleoperatedBlue +31
7Coral scored#16
26Coral points59
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
0Processor points6
16Net points8
16Algae points14
42Total teleop73
Reef
3L4#11
3L3#6
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
0Foul points0
63Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#20
41.91.1
30.231.3
Auto9.2
Teleop29.4
End3.2
blue by 23.3
9084
#10
65.20.0
57.257.1
Auto19.6
Teleop40.9
End4.8
Second
6884
#23
19.41.1
10.711.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.6
End2.7
blue by 36.9
4322
#12
56.30.0
46.846.8
Auto14.1
Teleop37.4
End4.7
Third
2367
#33
13.21.1
6.27.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 30.6
100
#15
43.70.0
31.731.6
Auto11.2
Teleop28.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned