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Red75
958432.6
884017.9
808712.6
Blue136
97171.6
264329.0
970617.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59134010015020025075136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
Teleop+61
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousRed +12
9Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
18Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +73
6Coral scored#25
23Coral points90
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
41Total teleop114
Reef
4L4#8
1L3#8
1L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
75Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9584
#25
32.60.6
30.831.4
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End7.6
blue by 39.0
971
#7
71.61.3
63.264.5
Auto9.7
Teleop55.2
End6.7
Second
8840
#39
17.90.6
12.813.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.6
End1.5
blue by 11.1
2643
#26
29.01.3
25.026.3
Auto2.3
Teleop25.2
End1.4
Third
8087
#42
12.60.6
13.914.6
Auto1.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 5.0
9706
#37
17.62.1
20.022.1
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned