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Red154
351249.5
228852.1
213543.7
Blue48
1033611.5
777718.7
96822.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14246010020015448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+88Teleop
+106Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +67
18Coral scored#7
66Coral points25
3Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
18Processor points0
16Net points8
34Algae points8
100Total teleop33
Reef
8L4#3
7L3#2
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#10
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
0Foul points0
154Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2288
#11
52.11.6
43.745.2
Auto9.0
Teleop37.1
End5.9
red by 30.1
968
#35
22.00.9
21.520.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Second
49.51.6
39.641.1
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End7.9
red by 30.8
7777
#22
18.70.9
16.815.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End3.3
Third
2135
#17
43.71.6
39.140.6
Auto13.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4
red by 32.2
11.50.9
13.913.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed