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Red175
1021215.6
581758.1
207350.3
Blue181
619121.7
665742.9
397080.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11012850100150200175181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+10
Endgame+12
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points38
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +11
25Coral scored#27
90Coral points97
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
132Total teleop121
Reef
9L4#11
10L3#10
7L2#9
3L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
6Foul points0
175Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#18
58.13.7
45.949.6
Auto11.1
Teleop43.7
End3.3
blue by 22.3
80.43.8
63.367.0
Auto18.5
Teleop52.0
End9.9
Second
2073
#16
50.33.7
37.941.7
Auto12.0
Teleop34.8
End3.4
red by 7.4
42.93.8
34.338.1
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End4.8
Third
15.63.7
18.221.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.7
blue by 6.1
6191
#30
21.76.3
15.922.1
Auto3.8
Teleop16.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned