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Red107
630523.6
70129.8
10043.7
Blue144
908465.2
107263.9
347335.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78175050100150200250107144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+27
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +25
6Leave3
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points34
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +2
18Coral scored#16
65Coral points57
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
89Total teleop91
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#6
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
107Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#15
43.71.3
31.632.9
Auto11.2
Teleop28.4
End4.1
blue by 21.5
9084
#10
65.21.1
57.156.0
Auto19.6
Teleop40.9
End4.8
Second
701
#36
29.81.3
28.629.9
Auto3.8
Teleop24.8
End1.2
blue by 34.1
63.91.1
61.059.8
Auto19.4
Teleop36.9
End7.6
Third
6305
#27
23.61.3
21.823.1
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End1.3
blue by 11.8
3473
#24
35.41.1
37.536.3
Auto5.9
Teleop27.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned39%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned