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Red163
432256.3
545841.9
167159.8
Blue134
236713.2
119782.6
858521.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14810650200163134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+49Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
0Leave3
9Coral scored#5
43Coral points24
43Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +33
23Coral scored#15
82Coral points53
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
18Processor points18
16Net points12
34Algae points30
116Total teleop83
Reef
12L4#6
10L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
163Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.81.6
52.454.1
Auto16.1
Teleop37.4
End6.3
blue by 22.8
82.61.8
77.679.4
Auto23.2
Teleop49.4
End10.0
Second
4322
#12
56.31.6
46.848.4
Auto14.1
Teleop37.4
End4.7
red by 34.3
8585
#38
21.91.8
13.315.1
Auto2.8
Teleop16.6
End2.5
Third
5458
#20
41.91.6
31.332.9
Auto9.2
Teleop29.4
End3.2
red by 28.7
2367
#33
13.21.8
7.39.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned