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Red38
688419.4
508923.7
950515.3
Blue103
513741.9
246538.0
97360.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3715305010020025038103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+49
Endgame+69
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points27
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +31
3Coral scored#9
10Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
16Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
4Foul points0
38Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5089
#34
23.70.8
22.421.6
Auto6.2
Teleop15.8
End1.7
blue by 36.4
973
#2
60.12.0
53.351.2
Auto17.1
Teleop34.8
End8.1
Second
6884
#23
19.40.8
11.711.0
Auto6.1
Teleop10.6
End2.7
blue by 22.5
41.92.0
34.132.1
Auto10.4
Teleop24.6
End6.9
Third
9505
#41
15.30.8
11.710.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End-0.4
blue by 22.6
2465
#14
38.02.0
45.743.7
Auto8.1
Teleop23.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned