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Red111
958432.6
777718.7
97171.6
Blue38
566544.2
1033611.5
808712.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132725010015020011138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+67Teleop
+75Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
22Total auto14
TeleoperatedRed +59
15Coral scored#3
55Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
69Total teleop10
Reef
7L4#2
6L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#6
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
6Foul points8
111Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#7
71.60.5
64.564.0
Auto9.7
Teleop55.2
End6.7
red by 27.4
5665
#21
44.22.5
39.937.4
Auto7.6
Teleop34.0
End2.6
Second
9584
#25
32.60.5
31.431.0
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End7.6
red by 20.0
8087
#42
12.62.5
14.612.1
Auto1.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Third
7777
#22
18.70.5
15.915.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End3.3
red by 7.2
11.52.5
13.110.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed