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Red148
397080.4
264329.0
70129.8
Blue96
432256.3
858521.9
96822.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1207705010015020025030035014896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+54Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
17Coral scored#15
62Coral points53
4Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
24Processor points6
32Net points12
56Algae points18
118Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#6
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
148Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.42.4
57.860.2
Auto18.5
Teleop52.0
End9.9
red by 24.1
4322
#12
56.30.7
45.546.2
Auto14.1
Teleop37.4
End4.7
Second
701
#36
29.82.4
24.026.4
Auto3.8
Teleop24.8
End1.2
red by 7.8
968
#35
22.00.7
16.717.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Third
2643
#26
29.02.4
20.022.4
Auto2.3
Teleop25.2
End1.4
red by 7.1
8585
#38
21.90.6
13.414.0
Auto2.8
Teleop16.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned