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Red135
619121.7
97171.6
228852.1
Blue109
665742.9
508923.7
630523.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131520100150200250135109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+28Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +35
23Coral scored#12
81Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
105Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#6
8L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
135Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#7
71.61.4
55.056.4
Auto9.7
Teleop55.2
End6.7
red by 28.7
42.93.7
24.928.6
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End4.8
Second
2288
#11
52.11.1
41.342.3
Auto9.0
Teleop37.1
End5.9
red by 28.4
5089
#34
23.74.0
14.318.3
Auto6.2
Teleop15.8
End1.7
Third
6191
#30
21.71.8
14.616.4
Auto3.8
Teleop16.2
End1.8
blue by 1.9
6305
#27
23.63.4
15.919.3
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned