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Red131
958432.6
167159.8
414143.1
Blue101
213543.7
347335.4
545841.9
65%Model gave it35%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12711250100150200131101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+10Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave9
6Coral scored#2
29Coral points11
29Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +1
13Coral scored#15
46Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
78Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#5
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#22
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
131Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.81.4
48.049.4
Auto16.1
Teleop37.4
End6.3
red by 16.1
2135
#17
43.70.0
39.539.4
Auto13.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4
Second
4141
#19
43.11.7
34.636.3
Auto10.8
Teleop25.4
End6.8
red by 1.2
5458
#20
41.90.0
28.728.7
Auto9.2
Teleop29.4
End3.2
Third
9584
#25
32.61.4
27.128.5
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End7.6
blue by 2.8
3473
#24
35.40.0
33.033.0
Auto5.9
Teleop27.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed