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Red113
10043.7
566544.2
876837.1
Blue150
119782.6
246538.0
688419.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98132050150200250113150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+25
Endgame+49
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points37
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +7
16Coral scored#13
56Coral points47
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
6Processor points18
20Net points24
26Algae points42
82Total teleop89
Reef
9L4#10
4L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +24
0Cage & park24
0Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
12Foul points0
113Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5665
#21
44.20.6
33.933.2
Auto7.6
Teleop34.0
End2.6
blue by 38.4
82.61.7
70.872.5
Auto23.2
Teleop49.4
End10.0
Second
100
#15
43.70.4
30.930.5
Auto11.2
Teleop28.4
End4.1
red by 5.8
2465
#14
38.01.3
40.441.6
Auto8.1
Teleop23.0
End6.8
Third
8768
#31
37.10.4
32.031.6
Auto6.1
Teleop29.0
End2.0
red by 17.7
6884
#23
19.41.3
8.29.5
Auto6.1
Teleop10.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned