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Red154
513741.9
545841.9
207350.3
Blue83
167159.8
246538.0
264329.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131415010020025015483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+59Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave9
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points4
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +35
20Coral scored#12
73Coral points44
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
103Total teleop68
Reef
11L4#6
7L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
154Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#16
50.32.6
41.744.2
Auto12.0
Teleop34.8
End3.4
blue by 9.5
59.83.3
54.150.8
Auto16.1
Teleop37.4
End6.3
Second
41.92.6
32.134.7
Auto10.4
Teleop24.6
End6.9
red by 3.9
2465
#14
38.03.3
43.740.4
Auto8.1
Teleop23.0
End6.8
Third
5458
#20
41.92.6
32.935.5
Auto9.2
Teleop29.4
End3.2
red by 12.9
2643
#26
29.03.3
26.323.0
Auto2.3
Teleop25.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsMissed