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Red67
858521.9
213543.7
950515.3
Blue123
876837.1
97360.1
508923.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711305010015020067123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+48
Endgame+58
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave9
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
6Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +21
13Coral scored#13
45Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
55Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#9
4L3#3
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
2Foul points0
67Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2135
#17
43.70.5
40.640.2
Auto13.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4
blue by 16.4
973
#2
60.10.6
51.251.8
Auto17.1
Teleop34.8
End8.1
Second
8585
#38
21.90.5
15.114.6
Auto2.8
Teleop16.6
End2.5
blue by 15.2
8768
#31
37.10.6
35.936.5
Auto6.1
Teleop29.0
End2.0
Third
9505
#41
15.30.5
10.910.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End-0.4
blue by 8.3
5089
#34
23.70.6
21.622.2
Auto6.2
Teleop15.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned