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Red190
432256.3
688419.4
603669.5
Blue195
228852.1
119782.6
107263.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125202100150250300190195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
+17Teleop
+7Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +12
3Leave6
9Coral scored#10
43Coral points52
46Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +29
25Coral scored#20
90Coral points71
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
118Total teleop89
Reef
13L4#10
10L3#10
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points12
190Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#13
69.54.3
66.370.6
Auto18.8
Teleop49.2
End1.6
blue by 13.1
82.60.1
79.479.3
Auto23.2
Teleop49.4
End10.0
Second
4322
#12
56.34.3
48.452.7
Auto14.1
Teleop37.4
End4.7
blue by 7.6
63.90.1
59.859.7
Auto19.4
Teleop36.9
End7.6
Third
6884
#23
19.44.3
11.015.2
Auto6.1
Teleop10.6
End2.7
blue by 32.7
2288
#11
52.10.1
45.245.1
Auto9.0
Teleop37.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned