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Red138
97171.6
808712.6
581758.1
Blue96
958432.6
10043.7
1033611.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1507405010020025013896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+38Teleop
+40Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points19
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +44
22Coral scored#11
80Coral points40
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
18Processor points6
8Net points16
26Algae points22
106Total teleop62
Reef
9L4#6
9L3#5
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
2Foul points0
138Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#7
71.60.3
64.063.7
Auto9.7
Teleop55.2
End6.7
red by 27.9
100
#15
43.70.7
33.033.6
Auto11.2
Teleop28.4
End4.1
Second
5817
#18
58.10.3
52.952.6
Auto11.1
Teleop43.7
End3.3
red by 25.5
9584
#25
32.60.7
31.031.7
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End7.6
Third
8087
#42
12.60.3
12.111.8
Auto1.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
red by 1.1
11.50.7
10.511.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsMissed