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Red61
566544.2
1021215.6
236713.2
Blue116
107263.9
970617.6
213543.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6114405010020061116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+39
Endgame+51
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave6
1Coral scored#5
4Coral points24
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +22
8Coral scored#12
30Coral points44
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
42Total teleop64
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
2Foul points6
61Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5665
#21
44.20.4
35.435.0
Auto7.6
Teleop34.0
End2.6
blue by 19.7
63.91.0
61.260.2
Auto19.4
Teleop36.9
End7.6
Second
15.60.4
21.521.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.7
blue by 28.1
2135
#17
43.71.0
41.940.8
Auto13.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4
Third
2367
#33
13.20.4
8.68.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 4.5
9706
#37
17.61.7
22.320.6
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned