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Red109
603669.5
246538.0
665742.9
Blue104
70129.8
96822.0
581758.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17110350150200250109104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
15Coral scored#18
55Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
69Total teleop77
Reef
9L4#7
3L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#6
22Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points0
109Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#13
69.53.4
69.366.0
Auto18.8
Teleop49.2
End1.6
red by 11.4
5817
#18
58.10.0
52.652.6
Auto11.1
Teleop43.7
End3.3
Second
42.93.4
41.838.4
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End4.8
red by 13.2
701
#36
29.80.0
27.127.1
Auto3.8
Teleop24.8
End1.2
Third
2465
#14
38.03.4
39.636.3
Auto8.1
Teleop23.0
End6.8
red by 16.0
968
#35
22.00.0
21.021.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed