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Red159
70129.8
513741.9
665742.9
Blue141
777718.7
603669.5
545841.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10713750150200250159141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+8Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
25Coral scored#17
91Coral points60
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#9
12Processor points18
12Net points36
24Algae points54
115Total teleop114
Reef
15L4#6
5L3#7
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
159Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.93.1
38.441.6
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End4.8
blue by 26.6
6036
#13
69.50.6
66.066.6
Auto18.8
Teleop49.2
End1.6
Second
41.93.1
35.238.4
Auto10.4
Teleop24.6
End6.9
red by 0.1
5458
#20
41.90.6
37.838.5
Auto9.2
Teleop29.4
End3.2
Third
701
#36
29.83.1
27.130.2
Auto3.8
Teleop24.8
End1.2
red by 11.1
7777
#22
18.70.6
16.517.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed