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Red99
581758.1
970617.6
858521.9
Blue82
96822.0
1021215.6
958432.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10684501502009982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+45Teleop
+23Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +47
15Coral scored#6
53Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
77Total teleop30
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
2Foul points8
99Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#18
58.10.0
52.652.6
Auto11.1
Teleop43.7
End3.3
red by 25.5
9584
#25
32.60.5
31.030.6
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End7.6
Second
8585
#38
21.90.0
15.315.3
Auto2.8
Teleop16.6
End2.5
blue by 0.1
968
#35
22.00.5
21.120.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Third
9706
#37
17.60.1
20.620.6
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End1.7
red by 2.0
15.60.5
21.120.6
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned