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Red174
351249.5
207350.3
908465.2
Blue112
508923.7
566544.2
347335.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1709550150200250174112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+50Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave6
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points11
30Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +37
24Coral scored#16
88Coral points59
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
18Processor points18
24Net points16
42Algae points34
130Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#6
10L3#5
5L2#3
7L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
174Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9084
#10
65.20.7
58.859.5
Auto19.6
Teleop40.9
End4.8
red by 21.0
5665
#21
44.20.3
35.035.3
Auto7.6
Teleop34.0
End2.6
Second
2073
#16
50.30.7
46.146.9
Auto12.0
Teleop34.8
End3.4
red by 14.9
3473
#24
35.40.3
36.937.2
Auto5.9
Teleop27.1
End2.3
Third
49.50.7
47.047.7
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End7.9
red by 25.8
5089
#34
23.70.3
24.424.7
Auto6.2
Teleop15.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed