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Red125
808712.6
119782.6
432256.3
Blue109
414143.1
213543.7
246538.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16712350100150200250125109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+22Teleop
+12Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave3
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points24
40Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +9
16Coral scored#12
59Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
77Total teleop68
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#5
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
4Foul points0
125Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.62.0
79.978.0
Auto23.2
Teleop49.4
End10.0
red by 38.9
2135
#17
43.70.5
40.840.4
Auto13.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4
Second
4322
#12
56.32.0
56.955.0
Auto14.1
Teleop37.4
End4.7
red by 13.2
4141
#19
43.10.5
39.138.7
Auto10.8
Teleop25.4
End6.8
Third
8087
#42
12.62.0
13.811.8
Auto1.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 25.4
2465
#14
38.00.5
36.335.8
Auto8.1
Teleop23.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned