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Red73
75127.9
630523.6
876837.1
Blue109
884017.9
236713.2
228852.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1057320406012014016018073109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+22
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#14
38Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
62Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#6
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points14
73Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8768
#31
37.11.1
37.736.7
Auto6.1
Teleop29.0
End2.0
blue by 15.0
2288
#11
52.11.8
45.146.9
Auto9.0
Teleop37.1
End5.9
Second
751
#28
27.91.1
27.926.8
Auto7.1
Teleop18.6
End2.2
red by 10.1
8840
#39
17.91.8
14.216.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.6
End1.5
Third
6305
#27
23.61.1
23.322.2
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End1.3
red by 10.4
2367
#33
13.21.8
8.110.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned