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Red116
96822.0
167159.8
513741.9
Blue58
1021215.6
665742.9
777718.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1358305010015020025011658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points11
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +38
12Coral scored#4
44Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
58Total teleop20
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
2Foul points2
116Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.80.1
57.357.1
Auto16.1
Teleop37.4
End6.3
red by 16.9
42.91.6
41.640.0
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End4.8
Second
41.90.1
38.438.2
Auto10.4
Teleop24.6
End6.9
red by 23.2
7777
#22
18.71.6
17.115.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End3.3
Third
968
#35
22.00.1
20.620.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End6.1
red by 6.4
15.61.6
20.619.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned