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Red162
545841.9
203528.1
107263.9
Blue107
581758.1
619121.7
958432.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14011450100200250162107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+65Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
3Leave3
9Coral scored#1
44Coral points6
47Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
21Coral scored#18
77Coral points64
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
18Processor points12
16Net points8
34Algae points20
111Total teleop84
Reef
13L4#9
8L3#4
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
162Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.92.1
59.661.8
Auto19.4
Teleop36.9
End7.6
red by 5.8
5817
#18
58.10.3
52.652.2
Auto11.1
Teleop43.7
End3.3
Second
5458
#20
41.92.1
38.540.6
Auto9.2
Teleop29.4
End3.2
red by 9.3
9584
#25
32.60.3
30.630.2
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End7.6
Third
2035
#29
28.12.1
23.725.9
Auto8.5
Teleop18.9
End0.7
red by 6.4
6191
#30
21.70.5
20.520.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned