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Red184
566544.2
908465.2
858521.9
Blue219
97360.1
603669.5
97171.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11321050100150250300184219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+37
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +30
23Coral scored#33
84Coral points118
5Processor algae#5
6Net algae#5
30Processor points30
24Net points20
54Algae points50
138Total teleop168
Reef
12L4#9
4L3#12
7L2#10
4L1 · trough#8
38Game pieces#49
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
184Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9084
#10
65.23.3
59.562.9
Auto19.6
Teleop40.9
End4.8
blue by 6.4
971
#7
71.60.2
66.867.0
Auto9.7
Teleop55.2
End6.7
Second
5665
#21
44.23.3
35.338.6
Auto7.6
Teleop34.0
End2.6
blue by 25.4
6036
#13
69.50.2
66.666.8
Auto18.8
Teleop49.2
End1.6
Third
8585
#38
21.93.3
15.318.6
Auto2.8
Teleop16.6
End2.5
blue by 38.1
973
#2
60.10.2
58.458.6
Auto17.1
Teleop34.8
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned