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Red97
630523.6
432256.3
884017.9
Blue127
246538.0
397080.4
1033611.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941425020025097127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+18
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +14
12Coral scored#18
42Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
74Total teleop88
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#9
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
97Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#12
56.30.1
55.055.0
Auto14.1
Teleop37.4
End4.7
blue by 24.1
80.40.4
75.975.5
Auto18.5
Teleop52.0
End9.9
Second
6305
#27
23.60.1
22.222.3
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End1.3
blue by 14.4
2465
#14
38.00.4
35.835.4
Auto8.1
Teleop23.0
End6.8
Third
8840
#39
17.90.1
16.016.1
Auto3.8
Teleop12.6
End1.5
red by 6.4
11.50.4
11.611.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned