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Red61
236713.2
508923.7
970617.6
Blue161
228852.1
10043.7
414143.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49152010020025061161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+29
Teleop+74
Endgame+98
Fouls+100
AutonomousBlue +29
0Leave9
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points29
9Total auto38
TeleoperatedBlue +45
9Coral scored#15
32Coral points53
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
6Processor points18
12Net points24
18Algae points42
50Total teleop95
Reef
4L4#10
2L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +100
0Foul points2
61Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5089
#34
23.70.4
24.724.4
Auto6.2
Teleop15.8
End1.7
blue by 28.4
2288
#11
52.11.5
46.948.5
Auto9.0
Teleop37.1
End5.9
Second
9706
#37
17.60.5
20.620.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End1.7
blue by 26.1
100
#15
43.71.5
39.040.5
Auto11.2
Teleop28.4
End4.1
Third
2367
#33
13.20.4
10.09.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 29.9
4141
#19
43.11.5
38.740.2
Auto10.8
Teleop25.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned