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Red112
264329.0
347335.4
75127.9
Blue206
213543.7
876837.1
119782.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9017450150200250112206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+80
Endgame+92
Fouls+94
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave6
3Coral scored#8
16Coral points38
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +52
18Coral scored#21
66Coral points74
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#11
12Processor points24
12Net points44
24Algae points68
90Total teleop142
Reef
7L4#12
7L3#7
5L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +94
2Foul points4
112Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
#24
35.40.8
37.238.0
Auto5.9
Teleop27.1
End2.3
blue by 47.2
82.62.4
78.080.3
Auto23.2
Teleop49.4
End10.0
Second
2643
#26
29.00.8
25.426.2
Auto2.3
Teleop25.2
End1.4
blue by 14.7
2135
#17
43.72.4
40.442.7
Auto13.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4
Third
751
#28
27.90.8
26.827.6
Auto7.1
Teleop18.6
End2.2
blue by 9.2
8768
#31
37.12.4
36.739.1
Auto6.1
Teleop29.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned23%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned