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Red127
203528.1
96822.0
908465.2
Blue162
665742.9
97360.1
167159.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11317450100150200250127162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+27
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave0
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points44
33Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +16
13Coral scored#15
46Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
12Processor points12
20Net points28
32Algae points40
78Total teleop94
Reef
5L4#10
5L3#6
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
127Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9084
#10
65.21.2
62.964.1
Auto19.6
Teleop40.9
End4.8
red by 5.1
973
#2
60.10.4
58.659.0
Auto17.1
Teleop34.8
End8.1
Second
2035
#29
28.11.2
25.927.0
Auto8.5
Teleop18.9
End0.7
blue by 31.7
59.80.4
57.157.5
Auto16.1
Teleop37.4
End6.3
Third
968
#35
22.01.2
20.421.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End6.1
blue by 20.9
42.90.4
40.040.4
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned50%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned