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Red104
777718.7
808712.6
351249.5
Blue120
619121.7
858521.9
545841.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9597708090110120130140104120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points15
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +17
15Coral scored#19
54Coral points69
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
74Total teleop91
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#7
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
104Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.8
48.249.1
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End7.9
red by 7.7
5458
#20
41.91.5
40.642.1
Auto9.2
Teleop29.4
End3.2
Second
7777
#22
18.70.8
15.516.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End3.3
blue by 3.2
8585
#38
21.91.5
18.620.1
Auto2.8
Teleop16.6
End2.5
Third
8087
#42
12.60.8
12.213.0
Auto1.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 9.2
6191
#30
21.72.0
20.022.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned