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Red116
203528.1
619121.7
97360.1
Blue165
246538.0
351249.5
432256.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11515950100200250116165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+17
Endgame+37
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
5Coral scored#6
26Coral points29
29Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +14
19Coral scored#23
67Coral points81
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
81Total teleop95
Reef
8L4#8
9L3#9
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points12
116Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#2
60.10.2
59.058.8
Auto17.1
Teleop34.8
End8.1
red by 3.8
4322
#12
56.30.0
55.155.1
Auto14.1
Teleop37.4
End4.7
Second
2035
#29
28.10.2
27.026.8
Auto8.5
Teleop18.9
End0.7
blue by 21.4
49.50.0
49.149.0
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End7.9
Third
6191
#30
21.70.3
22.021.7
Auto3.8
Teleop16.2
End1.8
blue by 16.2
2465
#14
38.00.0
37.937.9
Auto8.1
Teleop23.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned