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Red168
397080.4
203528.1
97360.1
Blue150
207350.3
10043.7
246538.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184138100150200250168150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points31
54Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +1
18Coral scored#18
66Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
92Total teleop91
Reef
14L4#9
5L3#7
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points6
168Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.40.1
79.279.1
Auto18.5
Teleop52.0
End9.9
red by 30.1
2073
#16
50.30.3
50.250.5
Auto12.0
Teleop34.8
End3.4
Second
973
#2
60.10.1
58.858.8
Auto17.1
Teleop34.8
End8.1
red by 16.3
100
#15
43.70.3
43.744.0
Auto11.2
Teleop28.4
End4.1
Third
2035
#29
28.10.1
26.826.8
Auto8.5
Teleop18.9
End0.7
blue by 9.9
2465
#14
38.00.3
37.938.2
Auto8.1
Teleop23.0
End6.8