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Red197
876837.1
397080.4
513741.9
Blue133
884017.9
777718.7
581758.1
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1788850150200250300197133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+32Teleop
+50Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
0Leave3
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points12
34Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +13
24Coral scored#22
85Coral points78
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
24Processor points18
16Net points16
40Algae points34
125Total teleop112
Reef
14L4#7
6L3#7
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#31
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
14Foul points0
197Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.41.3
77.979.2
Auto18.5
Teleop52.0
End9.9
red by 22.3
5817
#18
58.12.3
55.257.5
Auto11.1
Teleop43.7
End3.3
Second
41.91.3
39.040.3
Auto10.4
Teleop24.6
End6.9
red by 23.2
7777
#22
18.72.3
16.418.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End3.3
Third
8768
#31
37.11.3
35.937.1
Auto6.1
Teleop29.0
End2.0
red by 19.3
8840
#39
17.92.3
15.517.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
60%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed