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Red125
119782.6
1021215.6
508923.7
Blue65
808712.6
75127.9
70129.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1407105010020012565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+38Teleop
+52Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points39
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
71Total teleop47
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#16
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
8Foul points0
125Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.60.3
81.180.9
Auto23.2
Teleop49.4
End10.0
red by 52.8
701
#36
29.80.4
30.229.8
Auto3.8
Teleop24.8
End1.2
Second
5089
#34
23.70.3
23.923.7
Auto6.2
Teleop15.8
End1.7
blue by 4.3
751
#28
27.90.4
28.427.9
Auto7.1
Teleop18.6
End2.2
Third
15.60.3
15.915.6
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.7
red by 3.1
8087
#42
12.60.4
13.012.6
Auto1.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed