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Red184
10043.7
603669.5
107263.9
Blue209
167159.8
207350.3
97171.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183187120140160200220240260280184209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+19
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
10Coral scored#8
51Coral points38
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +18
25Coral scored#30
89Coral points109
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
18Processor points12
20Net points24
38Algae points36
127Total teleop145
Reef
12L4#9
12L3#14
8L2#9
3L1 · trough#6
43Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points6
184Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#13
69.50.8
68.369.0
Auto18.8
Teleop49.2
End1.6
blue by 2.1
971
#7
71.61.8
69.471.2
Auto9.7
Teleop55.2
End6.7
Second
63.90.8
61.362.1
Auto19.4
Teleop36.9
End7.6
red by 4.1
59.81.8
57.559.4
Auto16.1
Teleop37.4
End6.3
Third
100
#15
43.70.8
42.943.7
Auto11.2
Teleop28.4
End4.1
blue by 6.6
2073
#16
50.31.8
48.450.2
Auto12.0
Teleop34.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsMissed63%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned